Daily Fishing and Outdoor Report
Below: Why our government isn't concerned with threats by militant survivalists to develop a missile capacity.
... Nonetheless, shortly after this launch attempt, in a nearby field, Homeland Security folks emerged
"After me, soldiers:
'I wanna be an airborne ranger,
Live the life of guts and danger. ...'
Simpson, wake the hell up!"
Saturday, October 01, 2016: There are always subtle firsts on LBI. Today I saw the biggest traffic backup ever … heading south. I kid you not. I had intended on going to Holgate but upon seeing nonmoving bumper-to-bumper traffic heading south on both Central Avenues and the Boulevard, I was glad just to snake through the going-nowhere traffic to head northbound to make a workday of the weird day.
LBI sosuthbound driving matters went hideously haywire due to what I think was a larger than usual crowd (stuck inside for the past few days) heading to Beach Haven to cheer-on this local holidayish weekend -- peaking with tomorrow’s still-scheduled Chowderfest weekend.
Here are a couple midday videos: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6p_jpL1cfCk
Sorry if this is a tease for those who didn't reach the Queen City but I talked with folks by phone and they were having a great time, taking in sale prices and great craft displays.
"Look, there's the sign, kids! It'll only be a couple more hours now before we're at Chowderfest."
The weather has let up a goodly amount. I had thought it might but it’s not a sky bargain by any stretch. There are noticeable dashes of mist in the air, not quite drizzle. It’s a bit thicker toward the north end of the Island. Despite the brisk onshore flow, it really isn’t very chilly at all, due to a 70-degree ocean. Long sleeves are more for wind protection than keeping warm.
As for tomorrow, I’m remaining right as rain when I say it will be just fine weather for taste-testing chowders – if you can get there. I can’t see how there won’t be something of a repeat of the today’s traffic hell, again caused by midday road flooding. If folks weren’t already pissed off about this traffic thing I’d suggest we call tomorrow’s backup a Clam Jam.
Tomorrow’s bayside high/flood tide couldn’t come at a worst Chowderfest time. While it might not be as road-covering as today, there will be roughly twenty times as many folks trying to reach BH.
James Balbo photo:
This entire suckacious street scenario has to have the drivers of special Chowderfest buses and also LBT’s shuttle drivers pulling their collective hair out. Even today, in Surf City, I passed huddled groups looking quite testy as they awaited the shuttles – looking longingly north for the strobe light marking a shuttle’s approach. What I knew, and they didn’t, was the traffic mess ahead. It wasn’t showing at all in Surf City.
Imagine being in a stop-and-go shuttle with no ability to turn around and head back home?
But back to life in the fast lane.
SAILBOAT IN ITS OWN JAM: I was called up to the High Bar Harbor chunk of state park, what we call “The Dike” – meaning just that. It’s a manmade sand material dike dating back many decades, during the building of High Bar harbor.
Below: Boat location. Sorry for the lens crap, between mist and junk blowing around ...
I did the Sunset Boulevard drive and walked the “Beware of Ticks” pathway to check out a stranded sailboat that has blown ashore. It had likely been moored in Myers Hole, local sailboat safe harbor – and summer home to many top-water folks.
I was at first going to climb aboard and check for registration or any addressed paperwork. That’s always a bit tricky, legal-wise, so I simply took some photos and a video (see below – turn down volume, tons of wind noise). I’m putting it on Facebook --and in here -- to see if anyone, especially north enders, might know the owner and can contact same, sorta ASAP.
The sailboat is relatively safe from arriving high tides since it was pushed well beachward by storm tides, which are now receding daily.
It isn’t in the best of shape, topside, so there’s even chance it’s a derelict.
Is this your sailboat????????????????
ANGLING LOOKABOUT: The ocean, despite being heavily riled, is very clean … albeit pushing well over 10 feet. I have to think the water temps should drop over the next week, helped by at least a couple cooler nights to come.
Ocean temps this time of year are what might be called ambient driven. Surface water temps – and eventually deeper down – are reflections of the ambient air temps. This upper water column is accurately referred to as mixed, since it is influenced/mixed by winds and such. However, surface stirs only reach down so far. There is a marked point where ocean water below aren’t impacted by the mixed surface water, this is the thermocline.
Oh, hell, I’ll just let NOAA explain it:
Bodies of water are made up of layers, determined by temperature. The top surface layer is called the epipelagic zone, and is sometimes referred to as the "ocean skin" or "sunlight zone." This layer interacts with the wind and waves, which mixes the water and distributes the warmth. At the base of this layer is the thermocline. A thermocline is the transition layer between the warmer mixed water at the surface and the cooler deep water below. It is relatively easy to tell when you have reached the thermocline in a body of water because there is a sudden change in temperature. In the thermocline, the temperature decreases rapidly from the mixed layer temperature to the much colder deep water temperature.
MIGHTY MATTHEW: As a couple folks I know down at Guantanamo Bay (Cuba) freak out a bit -- flights on and off that military installation are ending soon -- Cat-4 Hurricane Matthew is maintaining its muscly 150 mph stream, aiming at Jamaica, while moving at close to walking speed. You never want to be slowly walked over by a Cat-4 cyclone.
Looking at the so-called spaghetti forecast charts -- showing every possible Matthew path now known to man -- only proves the utter madness of predicting his future. Not just that, the aforementioned slowness only makes it that much more impossible to venture a long-range forecast -- any further north than Florida ... at this time.
By mid-next week, there should be a far better shot at mapping out Matthew's movement -- in NJ terms. Nonetheless, NJ-oriented predictions will fly like swirling swallows -- starting ... now. But not herein.
My main (personal) forecast efforts at this time involve looking westward; eyeing powerful high pressure systems and on-the-move cold fronts, which can act as hurricane deflectors for the Eastern Seaboard, mainly north of North Carolina.
How is that forecasting any different than predicting Matthew's future? 'Canes are crazy mofacors, while good old standard weather systems, traveling west to east across the nation, are saints by comparison ... and pretty dang predictable. Having a grasp on what they're most likely going to do is vital data, should Matthew even remotely aim this way.
The farthest out on a weather limb I'll go in a Matthew manner is noting the chance for some decent deflectors moving across the nation this coming week, led by a powerful northern high pressure system, always a eastward steering current for hurricanes moving northward, out of the tropics. I also see a potentially strong cold front possibly coming into play later in the week. Cold fronts are famed for deflecting tropical cyclones.
I'll be following this closely for my own, uh, amusement. I, in no way, want folks to be even remotely influenced by my prognostications. As I oft note, I count on past/anecdotal experience almost as much as studying the now over-abundance of national and world weather maps. Find yourself a good and trusted forecasting agency to stick with.
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