Not a way to go ...
This a.m., Surf City ...
Is LBI ready for this?:
Below: Now that's my kinda back porch
Friday, June 19, 2015: Nice day ... if it doesn’t rain. The waves are small, the water is clean (mid to upper 60s) and the winds are down. It begs for anglers to come out and play. The invite will remain open into tomorrow, before the south winds change things on a dime, slopping up the water and possibly driving water temps back into the upwelled 50s.
There are some better bass being caught. Check with participating shops on the Simply Bassin’ tournament. Some impressive weigh-ins to date.
Bluefishing is hot when you find it -- and it's not that hard in the DC and OC channel areas, including over at 42.
Fluking remains iffy but continues to throw in some doormats. White jigs, white tails and white plastic working well.
Published on Jun 18, 2015
June 18, 2015 New Jersey/Delaware Bay Fishing Report - Father’s Day Weekend and there’s plenty of variety to be had for family fishing time. Warmer surf temperatures have kicked the beachfront fluke action into gear, while big striped bass are still harassing bunker schools and taking spoons on the troll in the Central and North Jersey region from Seaside to Monmouth Beach.
A bad backyard day ...
"Hey, ya wanna piece of this butt, buddy????"
The entire world is suffering from a catastrophic loss of bees and don’t I walk out back in my bare feet and step on a friggin’ bumblebee filled with enough venom to take down a horse. The bumble-gal -- male bumble bees can't sting -- stung me on the bottom of my foot, right inside the tender-skinned arch.
"Mommy, why is that weird man next door jumping around on one leg, yelling all those naughty words?"
The searing sting-pain wouldn't quit for a solid five minutes – that’s five hours in bee-sting time.
Just for the pain-level record books, bumblebee stings are way worse than a wasp or honeybee sting. No contest. A couple years back I stirred a bumblebee nest and got stung by two at once, down near the LEHT/Bass River line. So, I’m basing that bumblebee pain rating on more than just this recent attack.
To be sure, I understood my backyard stinger's survival situation, being stepped upon by a barefooted giant. The good thing is it flew off -- no worse for wear. Unlike a honeybee, a bumblebee stinger has no barbs; it goes into a target, offloads its toxin, then smoothly pulls right out. It doesn't have its venom sac fatally tear out, as is the case with doomed honeybees.
Below: Doomed honeybee sting.
Thankfully, I’m not allergic to bee/wasp venom or anything but this sting would come back to bite me again later on.
Right after the sting’s burn had receded, I put on my costly hiking boots to go out metal detecting. They’re a nice tight orthopedic fit. It was such a gorgeous day, I stayed out until the frogs began practicing for the long love-seeking night ahead.
Getting home after dark, I pulled off my boots. That’s when it hit. Within seconds, the bee sting area felt like 100 well-coordinated mosquitoes were all simultaneously biting that one small spot. I went through the ceiling trying to scratch an itch from hell. I never had such an odd, delayed-reaction from a sting – and I’ve been stung by the best of ‘em. (You go outdoors as much as me and you’re eventually gonna learn all the biters and stingers, close up and personal.)
The insane itch was surely complements of some chemical in the bee’s sting that I hadn't let leak out or internally dissipate after the bite. Oddly, there was absolutely no swelling or even reddening at the sting site – until I resorted to scratching away using one of those wire brushes meant for clean carbonized sludge off a barbecue grill. It was that itchy.
It took ten minutes of near self-mutilation to quell the itch. I'm not sure if the barbecue grill grease helped or hurt.
It retrospect, I’m outwardly advising that it’s not a good idea to tightly bind a recent bee sting. While my weird reaction was better than going into anaphylactic shock, it’s a delayed reaction to be highly avoided. My foot is now fine, though the missing layer of top-skin will take a while to grow back.
Below: Put bumblebee at a solid 7.123, at onset ... Honeybee, 2.5. Yellowjacket wasp (not a bee), 5. Carpenter bee (looks like bumblebee), 5.
The Editor's View: Three Simple Rules for Eating Seafood
SEAFOODNEWS.COM [The Editor's View] By John Sackton - June 16, 2015
Paul Greenberg, author of Four Fish and American Catch: the Fight for Our Local Seafood, wrote a piece in the New York Times Sunday (
Three Simple Rules for Eating Seafood
), which once again falls short.
Greenberg says he is trying to emulate Michael Pollan, the food writer who famously said:
Not too much.
Pollan is one of the leading advocates for a reformed food system based on less meat, fewer manufactured and processed products, and more organic agriculture. These ideas are not just changing elite behavior. Even Walmart is seriously expanding its organic purchases.
But how does this relate to seafood.
Greenberg’s three rules are:
Eat American Seafood.
A much Greater Variety than we currently do.
Mostly Farmed Filter Feeders.
Unfortunately, Greenberg’s rules are driven by a general characterization of imports, which are mostly Asian products, and all products needing fishmeal inputs, as a bad choice. There is no science behind his thinking.
His buy American idea is based on a sound realization: that American fisheries management is among the best in the world, and that as a result, most US fisheries are quite sustainable. But in his effort to demonize Asia, he doesn’t acknowledge that since other countries, and individual fisheries, are also well managed, maybe they are as good as American based seafood.
A better formulation would be:
Eat Fish from Well Managed Stocks.
His call for more variety in the American seafood diet is positive. There are many species that are less valued due to unfamiliarity, or due to the fact that large scale production is difficult. But there are also other constraints that are the result of good management, such as limits on removals due to bycatch restrictions.
His call to eat a greater variety of seafood is the one concept I would wholeheartedly endorse.
In the Michael Pollan style I would say simply:
A Great Variety.
Finally, Greenberg makes a distinction in aquaculture (and wild fisheries) that favors filter feeders as they do not have to be fed. In other words they are low trophic feeders, eating plankton from the water column, rather than other fish.
The three species that are most heavily consumed in the US, shrimp, tuna and salmon, are all predators who normally eat other animals. Greenberg rejects them for this reason, at least in an aspirational manner.
He repeats the claim that Asian shrimp farms destroy mangroves. This was a problem when farmed shrimp first took off in the 1980’s and coastal land was converted to ponds without regard for mangroves. But that was over 30 years ago. Today, practically every tropical country producing farmed shrimp has regulations protecting mangroves or requiring reforestation.
Loss of mangroves is not just due to shrimp farms. The build out on the coasts, including airports, hotels, resorts and casinos is rapidly depleting coastal marshes and wetlands around the world. This is a huge environmental problem for all fisheries, and for us in the seafood industry, because estuaries and wetlands are a vital part of the marine ecosystem. The objection here is casting this problem at the feet of irresponsible shrimp farmers, rather than overall irresponsible coastal development.
I would characterize it as insufficient national protections against all forms of degradation including the huge amounts of nitrogen run off that degrade American waters such as the Chesapeake and create dead zones in the Gulf of Mexico.
So lets agree that the environmental degradation of both oceans and coastal areas is a consequence of large scale development, not simply the result of overfishing or growth of aquaculture.
In fact, by focusing on overfishing as the primary visible issue in the degradation of the marine environment, many NGO’s are simply battling the low hanging fruit. The fact is that overfishing can be eliminated conclusively with proper fish management.
It is much harder to address nitrogen run off from agriculture, and the increasing ocean acidity from burning fossil fuels. The seafood industry recognizes that this type of pollution damages marine ecosystems - but needs allies and a broader social movement to curb these things. Instead, many NGO’s marine conservation departments, who should be natural allies of the seafood industry, prefer to focus on hitting us .. because they can get more financial support that way than if their marine sections took on fossil fuels or over use of fertilizers from the perspective of their damage to marine ecosystems.
To go back to science, forage fisheries can be managed sustainably in the exact same way as other fisheries.
The California sardine fishery is a good example. The closure is the result of prudent management and understanding of the cyclical nature of recruitment. It is not the result of overfishing. All scientist who have looked at this agree on this point.
So if forage fisheries, include the anchovy fishery in Peru, can be managed successfully, there is no scientific argument that use of forage fisheries to produce fishmeal and oil is unsustainable.
The NGO argument, that Paul Greenberg repeats, is that because salmon feed contains fishmeal, the growth of farmed salmon inevitably leads to overfishing pressure on forage fish.
Yet, this has not happened. Instead, the growth of the farmed salmon industry has occurred with the same level of fishmeal production over time. The growth has been based on more efficient use of fishmeal and oil, not more overall use.
To quote the research on this subject from FAO and the International Fishmeal and Oil Association:
"The concern that expanding aquaculture is currently using more and more fishmeal and fish oil is misplaced. Producers of aquafeeds had recognized by early this century that supplies of these ingredients were finite. Sustainable production from well managed fisheries had a ceiling of about 5 million tons of fishmeal and 1 million tons of fish oil per year."
The result is that fishmeal and fish oil are being used more efficiently, more strategically at lower levels (i. e. in fry and brood stock diets) and, in part, substituted by alternative ingredients. The total amount required has leveled off.
The two charts below illustrate this point:
Overall use of fishmeal and fish oil in Aquaculture (IFFO/FAO)
Improvements in conversion efficiency and changing composition of salmon feed (IFFO)
(UPDATE: For 2013 inclusion is 15 % fishmeal and the oil content is 1/3 fish oil and 2/3 vegetable oil. Some major producer grower diets are down to 10 % fishmeal)
In 2000 2.6 kg of wild fish were used for each kg of farmed salmonid (salmon and trout) produced. By 2010 this had fallen to 1.4kg. On many salmon farms only one kg or less of wild fish is used for each kilogram of salmon produced. Overall fed aquaculture produces three times more fish by weight than it uses in feed, in the form of fishmeal and fish oil. (
So if we base our approach to sustainable aquaculture on science rather than myth, a better formulation of Greenberg’s last point would be:
And From Responsible Aquaculture.
So, Greenberg could improve his advice to American Seafood Eaters by focusing on science, and avoiding repeating myths that have largely defined the NGO public agenda around seafood.
My own formulation of advice for eating seafood in three sentences is:
Eat fish from well managed stocks.
A great variety.
And from responsible aquaculture.
HAVE FUN....AND IT'S FREE......!!!!!!!
Treat yourself to a free and relaxing sightseeing ride on the LBI Shuttle Service on Long Beach Island. This service offers free pick up from all 18 miles of LBI on Long Beach Blvd. The service is set to run from 10 A.M. through 10 P.M. seven days a week. Highlights of the LBI Shuttle Service include:
Free pickup and drop off anywhere on LBI’s Long Beach Blvd.
Safe and easy rides to avoid the LBI summer traffic
In order to ride this Free LBI Shuttle one simply must wait on Long Beach Blvd and hail the brightly colored buses with “LBI Shuttle” lettering. You won’t miss them and they won’t miss you! They come VERY often and you’ll catch on quickly!
Any relationship to sharks?????
It was also the hottest March to May on record and the hottest January to May on record as well. So, if trends continue, as they are predicted to, this year will surpass last year as the hottest on record. Many places have been experiencing extreme heat around the world with record heat in such disparate places as India and Alaska. Parts of tropical South America, much of southern Africa and The Middle East, and parts of northwestern Siberia also experienced record warmth, according to NOAA.
If trends continue, as they are predicted to, this year will surpass last year as the hottest on record. Photo credit: NOAA
The world set records for global precipitation, as well. Some places, such as Spain, experienced the driest May on record with total average rainfall for the month just 25 percent of normal, while Denmark recorded its second wettest May ever. The U.S. had its wettest May on record and also its wettest month ever recorded with Texas and Oklahoma experiencing precipitation that was 500 percent of average, causing catastrophic flooding.
Across much of the middle of the country, rainfall was 200-300 percent of average for May. In Texas and Oklahoma, precipitation was 500 percent of average. Photo credit: NOAA
The data confirms what recent reports have found. Climate change will cause more extreme weather, including droughts, floods and heat waves. Another recent report identifies the top states and top cities in the U.S. with the biggest increases in heavy downpours, which are on the rise due to climate change.
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This is important stuff .. so wade through it ...
El Niño continues to pick up steam. NOAA CPC/IRI forecasters are now very confident that the event will continue through the fall (over 90% chance) and into the winter (~85% chance). Now that we’re emerging from the spring barrier, this month’s update provides a first guess of the potential strength of El Niño. It’s harder to predict the strength of the event than it is to predict its duration, so we are less confident about that, but forecasters currently favor a “strong” event for the fall/early winter. By “strong” we mean it’s expected that the three-month average sea surface temperature in the Niño3.4 region will peak at more than 1.5°C (2.7°F) above normal.
What’s happening right now?
During the month of May, we saw increases in a lot of the ENSO indicators. Sea surface temperature anomalies (the departure from average) were up all across the tropical Pacific, and the most recent Niño3.4 Index was 1.2°C. Both the lower-level and upper-level winds along the equator were substantially weaker than average last month, characteristic of El Niño’s weakenedWalker Circulation. This feedback between the higher sea surface temperature anomalies and the atmosphere is critical to both perpetuating and strengthening an El Niño event, and to communicating the effects of El Niño to other areas of the globe.
Signs of another downwelling Kelvin wave have begun to appear in the upper levels of the equatorial Pacific. This reinforcing source of warmer-than-average waters follows the strong Kelvin wave that has been slowly moving east since February. The consistently warmer waters are reflective of the slower changes we’d expect to see when the ocean-atmosphere system has settled into an ENSO event, as opposed to the shorter-term changes that dominate the rest of the time.
What signs are suggesting a possible strong event?
The physical observations I described above are a source of confidence that this event is continuing to build. Also, most climate models are forecasting a continued increase in Niño3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies, and many forecast a peak in the early winter above 1.5°, some above 2.0°C.
It’s important to remember, though, that we only have a handful of strong El Niño events in thehistorical record—seven since 1950. And only three of those saw Niño3.4 index values of 2.0°C or higher: 1972-73, 1997-98 and 1982-83)*. Imagine if we’d only had seven hurricanes in the history of record-keeping; it would make it much harder to understand and predict how a future hurricane could develop. So, while we’re confident that this El Niño event will continue, there’s still plenty of uncertainty about how it will evolve.
That said… what would a strong event mean?
As Tony pointed out in our last post, ENSO impacts on North American weather and climate are most noticeable in the winter. This is largely because winter weather is governed more by large-scale processes (e.g. nor’easters) than summer weather, when local effects (e.g. isolated thunderstorms) tend to be more important. El Niño events affect the strength and position of the jet stream, and tilt the odds toward more rain than average along the West coast and in the Southeast during the winter.
El Niño loads the dice in favor of certain impacts, but it doesn’t guarantee them. However, stronger events tend to lead to more predictable effects. My brother asked me if he should repair the leaks in the roof of his campervan before he goes to Florida this winter… based on the ENSO forecast, I said yes. (I would probably have said yes anyway —who wants to stay in a drafty camper?— but that’s beside the point.)
Globally, this El Niño event is likely to lead to higher global temperatures, possibly record-breaking. On this, check out Deke Arndt’s post on our new sister blog, Beyond the Data. Also, as I mentioned last month, the tropical Pacific hurricane season is already breaking records, while the Atlantic hurricane season is forecast to be quieter than average—both effects linked to El Niño. For the coming summer (June-August), check out Tony’s post on potential temperature and precipitation impacts linked to El Niño.
Many, many different components are at work in the global climate system, making exact predictions impossible. However, the development of a climate phenomenon like El Niño can make some outcomes more likely than others, which is why we follow it so closely. We’ll keep you posted as this event continues.