Daily Fishing and Outdoor Report

Thursday, Sept. 27, 2007 -- Weather Service is OK

Thursday, September 27, 2007: Waves: 2 to 2.5 feet out of the south; no swells yet from large low pressure in the ocean off SE U.S. Water clarity: The hard south winds have churned the water adjacent to the beaches but not far out. Mid-Island, there is a 50-yard swath of brownish water with clean water not far off. I have seen water like this make surf casting very interesting as blues and bass take advantage of the lowered virility to make high-speed raids on mullet and spearing; best way to fish it is with chunk bait or very noisy poppers’ water could clear quickly with lighters winds. Winds: Dropped over night and do not seem to be kicking in after sunrise, the way it had for the past couple days.

Weather Service Note: I work with the folks at the U.S. weather Service in Mount Holly and have to put in a huge plug for the job they do.

I’m sure the first thing many of you will do is point to the way they missed forecasting the storm that just about capsized you in August or the way they forecast fine weather for that last week of August but you never saw the sun once. But the correctness of their forecasts is now in the 80 percent plus range. What’s more, I often get to chat (at length) with the meteorologists as I make my daily (sunrise) wave report/rip current rating and can tell you those folks live and breath weather. It’s when you talk with them about the skies you see the training and expertise they bring into the prognosticating picture. As the science and technology of weather forecasting increases, it actually becomes a far more trying effort to settle on the forecast you receive. There are now upwards of a dozen different computer programs processing historic weather events and data. Each one of those programs, based on which criteria is being used, can project a slightly -- or even vastly different -- read on what current weather patterns may produce. The forecasters then have to draw what might be called a computer forecast average, often needing to overlook lower percentage possibilities even when forecasters have this sense that the oddball forecast might just be the right one. So that seemingly un-forecasted weather system that fouled up you weekend was actually in the mix as predictions were being made. It came down to law of average. Interestingly, the more data that is collected, the more accurate the forecasting will become in the future. Of course, the weather also fights back by refusing to give up its internal directive of being the ultimate spoiler.

Polly’s Dock is having a “Heaviest Striper” tourney on October 5, 6.

It is both a bank and boat event and costs $100 per 3-angler (or less) vessel and $100 per 3-angler surfcasting team. Extra members can be taken on team or boat at a cost of $20 per person.

Winnings are based on number of entrants in the tourney. Also money will be hanging out there in the form of separate calcuttas ($20) for vessels, largest fish overall and two heaviest fish.

As you can see, this is one of the few mixed method tourney, bank and beach – with separate winnings perks for each sector. T-shirts and a buffet are also part of the event.

The captains’ meeting is Friday (Oct. 5) at 6 p.m., after which line can go into the water. Weigh-ins are until 4:30 p.m. Saturday.

Get details at 492-2194.

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