Daily Fishing and Outdoor Report
Monday, September 09, 2013: Very changeable weather today, ending with light onshores. Highly fishable.
Fluking is the still the call – and the call in wild. Simply put by Josh at Viking Outfitters, BL, “The bay is loaded with fluke.”
Per Josh, the prime tide for fluking the north end is outgoing. Killies and white GULP are the best coaxing agents.
What’s more, there are already bass to be had off High Bar harbor “Dike,” northern end section. Some keepers there. That bass presence makes sense as bait I mustering thereabouts. Bigger bass are still north – and even just to the south, in deeper water.
The North End is also hosting those big, fat weakfish, bayside and within the inlet. They love good old Fin-S Fish – in many colors, though pink or white seem to be favorites. While we can’t really keep sparklers, weakies are not just an incredible fighter but a looker when landed. Their colors shine when they’re riled like that. They are truly a prime catch-and-release species.
Elsewhere around LBI, the fluking is front page, not so much for the numbers – and there are often more shorts than can be counted – but the growing number of doormats. This showing of big-ass flatties makes sense when looking at how long our strict conservation efforts have now been in place -- and the fact summer flounder grow like the dickens. I have well over a dozen reports of fluke of six pounds and larger. They’re coming from boats and beaches.
While fluking sharpies remain gung-ho on using live spot, a goodly number of doormats are taking the simplest of offerings, including a 7-8 to M.K. It went for a “small” white jig, white hair and with a small white plastic curly, meant for weakfish. Believe it or not, M.K. was going to release it except it inhaled the jig. He was on his last fishing excursion until October and was about to leave the Island for the city. He gave the massive fish to an angling neighbor who was understandable ecstatic -- and was the one who sent me an email about the hookup.
The blowfishing remains insane-ish. One angler had over 300 in a week’s stretch.
Kingfishing is picking up, as it usuallt does this time of year. Whereas kingfish are spread out during summer – though often tightly packed in a good feeding zone – they now school.
Mullet are doing their customary short-hop sprints along the beach. Batches of them will break from the muster zone and head south along the surfline. However, instead of keeping on with their swim south, they’ll turn back in at the next inlet and hang there, sometimes for weeks. Remember, these young-of-year fish have absolutely no idea where they’re going – or even what they’re doing. Instinct is very poor at explaining itself. To them, a swim from Barnegat Inlet to Beach Haven Inlet might seem the whole migratory shebang. It’s when they get inside BH Inlet and that weird urge to go south, young mullet, returns that they realize there’s way more to this migratory thing than meets the eye.
Holgate is very accessible – for the time being. Below are some raw videos to get a look at the far south end. The drive on is a breeze, as is the entire drive to the end and the back cut. However, a couple astronomically high tides or a storm will surely thin the driving zone.
Currently, you buy your permit but it has mailed out to you. You keep the paperwork with you as proof of purchase.
I’d like to say the fishing is fine on the Holgate end but short of some fluke, a few cocktail blues and a here/there kingfish it’s sorta slow. I haven’t gotten any word about by-caught sharks near the Rip, where major sharks patrol at night and go for the big baits you throw out there for black drum.
West winds mean black flies, per usual, in Holgate. However, it seems like it could be a prime years for these despicable biters. Sprays don’t work. Loose clothing – including long pants -- can sometimes help.
Here are my raw videos of reopening day at Holgate:
By DAVID ROSE
A chilly Arctic summer has left nearly a million more square miles of ocean covered with ice than at the same time last year – an increase of 60 per cent.
The rebound from 2012’s record low comes six years after the BBC reported that global warming would leave the Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013.
Instead, days before the annual autumn re-freeze is due to begin, an unbroken ice sheet more than half the size of Europe already stretches from the Canadian islands to Russia’s northern shores.
The Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific has remained blocked by pack-ice all year. More than 20 yachts that had planned to sail it have been left ice-bound and a cruise ship attempting the route was forced to turn back.
Some eminent scientists now believe the world is heading for a period of cooling that will not end until the middle of this century – a process that would expose computer forecasts of imminent catastrophic warming as dangerously misleading.
The disclosure comes 11 months after The Mail on Sunday triggered intense political and scientific debate by revealing that global warming has ‘paused’ since the beginning of 1997 – an event that the computer models used by climate experts failed to predict.
In March, this newspaper further revealed that temperatures are about to drop below the level that the models forecast with ‘90 per cent certainty’.
The pause – which has now been accepted as real by every major climate research centre – is important, because the models’ predictions of ever-increasing global temperatures have made many of the world’s economies divert billions of pounds into ‘green’ measures to counter climate change.
Those predictions now appear gravely flawed.
Only six years ago, the BBC reported that the Arctic would be ice-free in summer by 2013, citing a scientist in the US who claimed this was a ‘conservative’ forecast. Perhaps it was their confidence that led more than 20 yachts to try to sail the Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific this summer. As of last week, all these vessels were stuck in the ice, some at the eastern end of the passage in Prince Regent Inlet, others further west at Cape Bathurst.
Shipping experts said the only way these vessels were likely to be freed was by the icebreakers of the Canadian coastguard. According to the official Canadian government website, the Northwest Passage has remained ice-bound and impassable all summer.
The BBC’s 2007 report quoted scientist Professor Wieslaw Maslowski, who based his views on super-computer models and the fact that ‘we use a high-resolution regional model for the Arctic Ocean and sea ice’.
He was confident his results were ‘much more realistic’ than other projections, which ‘underestimate the amount of heat delivered to the sea ice’. Also quoted was Cambridge University expert
Professor Peter Wadhams. He backed Professor Maslowski, saying his model was ‘more efficient’ than others because it ‘takes account of processes that happen internally in the ice’.
He added: ‘This is not a cycle; not just a fluctuation. In the end, it will all just melt away quite suddenly.’
The continuing furore caused by The Mail on Sunday’s revelations – which will now be amplified by the return of the Arctic ice sheet – has forced the UN’s climate change body to hold a crisis meeting.
The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was due in October to start publishing its Fifth Assessment Report – a huge three-volume study issued every six or seven years. It will now hold a pre-summit in Stockholm later this month.
Leaked documents show that governments which support and finance the IPCC are demanding more than 1,500 changes to the report’s ‘summary for policymakers’. They say its current draft does not properly explain the pause.
At the heart of the row lie two questions: the extent to which temperatures will rise with carbon dioxide levels, as well as how much of the warming over the past 150 years – so far, just 0.8C – is down to human greenhouse gas emissions and how much is due to natural variability.
This claim is already hotly disputed. US climate expert Professor Judith Curry said last night: ‘In fact, the uncertainty is getting bigger. It’s now clear the models are way too sensitive to carbon dioxide. I cannot see any basis for the IPCC increasing its confidence level.’
She pointed to long-term cycles in ocean temperature, which have a huge influence on climate and suggest the world may be approaching a period similar to that from 1965 to 1975, when there was a clear cooling trend. This led some scientists at the time to forecast an imminent ice age.
Professor Anastasios Tsonis, of the University of Wisconsin, was one of the first to investigate the ocean cycles. He said: ‘We are already in a cooling trend, which I think will continue for the next 15 years at least. There is no doubt the warming of the 1980s and 1990s has stopped.
Then... NASA satelite images showing the spread of Artic sea ice 27th August 2012
...And now, much bigger: The same Nasa image taken in 2013
‘The IPCC claims its models show a pause of 15 years can be expected. But that means that after only a very few years more, they will have to admit they are wrong.’
Others are more cautious. Dr Ed Hawkins, of Reading University, drew the graph published by The Mail on Sunday in March showing how far world temperatures have diverged from computer predictions. He admitted the cycles may have caused some of the recorded warming, but insisted that natural variability alone could not explain all of the temperature rise over the past 150 years.
Nonetheless, the belief that summer Arctic ice is about to disappear remains an IPCC tenet, frequently flung in the face of critics who point to the pause.
Yet there is mounting evidence that Arctic ice levels are cyclical. Data uncovered by climate historians show that there was a massive melt in the 1920s and 1930s, followed by intense re-freezes that ended only in 1979 – the year the IPCC says that shrinking began.
Professor Curry said the ice’s behaviour over the next five years would be crucial, both for understanding the climate and for future policy. ‘Arctic sea ice is the indicator to watch,’ she said